Calamity
CriticalSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 63

Severe Weather near Grand Island

HowardUnited StatesNOAA

This alert expired on 17 May 2026 at 23:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

No stronger detection stands among the 44 recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 March 2026 — 7 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 7 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Tornado Warning issued May 17 at 5:07PM CDT until May 17 at 6:15PM CDT by NWS Hastings NE

An estimated 51,440 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 15 March 2026

How we know

Confirmed by 8 independent sources, including NOAA.

Our own score for this event is 63 out of 100, at 89 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityCritical
Calamity Score (ours)63 / 100
Our confidence89%
Coordinates41.1433, -98.3058
Nearest CityGrand Island (24 km)
Population Exposed51.4K within 50 km
Impact Tiersevere
Timestamp2026-05-17T22:07:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Tornado Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.4eaf4d9cf796f6a0a746e37dc2e83150

Score Breakdown

95
intensity
55
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventTornado Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyObserved
AreaDescHoward, NE; Merrick, NE; Nance, NE; Polk, NE; Howard, NE; Merrick, NE
HeadlineTornado Warning issued May 17 at 5:07PM CDT until May 17 at 6:15PM CDT by NWS Hastings NE
Expires2026-05-17T18:15:00-05:00
SenderNameNWS Hastings NE
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount2
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.4eaf4d9cf796f6a0a746e37dc2e83150595be31a.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.945fe67e8f37f1ef229e4e566845ee84406bba9e.001.1"]
Iem TypeSummaryH
Iem Magnitude2.5
Iem UnitInch
Iem CityAshton
Iem CountySherman
Iem StateNE
Iem WfoGID
MergedSources[{"id":"iem_H_41.230_-98.860_1779053700000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779053700000,"latitude":41.23,"longitude":-98.86},{"id":"iem_H_41.250_-98.790_1779054660000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779054660000,"latitude":41.25,"longitude":-98.79},{"id":"iem_H_41.070_-98.720_1779053640000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779053640000,"latitude":41.07,"longitude":-98.72},{"id":"iem_T_41.050_-98.570_1779054660000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779054660000,"latitude":41.05,"longitude":-98.57},{"id":"iem_H_41.120_-98.550_1779054240000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779054240000,"latitude":41.12,"longitude":-98.55},{"id":"iem_H_41.000_-98.870_1779052440000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779052440000,"latitude":41,"longitude":-98.87},{"id":"iem_H_41.250_-98.790_1779053400000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1779053400000,"latitude":41.25,"longitude":-98.79}]

Safety Information

If a tornado warning is issued: go to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor, away from windows. A vehicle and a mobile home are not shelter. Cover your head and neck. Wait for the official all-clear before going outside, and watch for downed power lines and gas leaks afterwards.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 63/100, near Grand Island (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.